MLB daily notes: Adhere with Scherzer and Harvey

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Source:   —  April 16, 2016, at 5:46 PM

It'south a daily version of our Fantasy Forecaster, in which we project the best pitcher game scores as well as the best team hitting matchups based upon a no of factors.

MLB daily notes: Adhere with Scherzer and Harvey

In an effort to serve daily fantasy players and season-long fantasy players who utilize daily lineup settings, we present notes each day of the season. It'south a daily version of our Fantasy Forecaster, in which we project the best pitcher game scores as well as the best team hitting matchups based upon a no of factors.

Pitching

It'south of small astonishment that Max Scherzer claims the top spot of the day with a matchup against the Phillies. It'south a road start and a worse park to pitch in for the Nationals right-hander, but it'south going to be tough to obtain far from Scherzer in cash games, as he'south the only elite option in the evening slate. Not only does he have double-digit whiff upside every time he takes the mound, but the Phillies offense is averaging fewer than three runs per game this season while striking out nearly twenty-five % of the time. Pay up.

Matt Harvey hasn't precisely looked love a fantasy ace through two starts. His ERA sits at fourth.63, and he'south fanned only five batters in eleventh two/three innings. Going on the road to face an AL team with a DH isn't an ideal scenario, but the matchup against the Indians, who are striking out at a twenty-eight % clip to go along with a .302 wOBA versus right-handed pitching, more than makes up for it. This is a grand opportunity for Harvey to boost his K rate and choose up his first win of the season.

Rounding out the elite tier on Saturday is Jake Arrieta, who gets a residence start against the Rockies. Featuring the likes of Trevor Story, Carlos Gonzalez and Arenado and Co., the Rockies lineup can do lots of damage. Wrigley Field is number Coors Field, but it still boosts homers. Plus, the Rockies have been crushing everywhere this season, not just Coors, evidenced by a .407 road wOBA in the early going. Arrieta is elite and matchup proof, so we shouldn't overthink this. In terms of cash games, however, Harvey is in the better spot for the early slate.

Felix Hernandez'south early-season velocity is down two ticks from two thousand fifteen and he couldn't discover his control in his first start (five walks in six innings), but that hasn't impacted his results through two outings. He'south whiffed sixteen batters in thirteenth innings while holding a 0.69 ERA. On Saturday he takes the bump against the Yankees at Yankee Stadium, where he owns one.38 ERA and 1.04 WHIP over eight career starts. Still, this isn't the same King Felix from a few years ago, the Yankees having been drilling righty pitching so distant this season (.373 wOBA), and Yankee Stadium is a huge downgrade from Safeco Field. It'south a tough spot for the Seattle ace despite his early success.

Johnny Cueto'south road matchup against the Dodgers is a small more favorable given the park and lineup he'll be facing, but it'south still not an simple matchup. In fact, the Dodgers hammered him for six runs in seven innings his latest time out. Cueto could very well bounce back in this one, but I'd still rather pay a small more for one of the elite options in cash games.

It'south been tough sledding for Adam Wainwright in the early going. He'south whiffed just five hitters in eleventh frames, and his 6.55 walk rate matches his 6.55 ERA. Fortunately, he'south facing a Reds team that could assistance him obtain straightened out, as they sport just a .284 wOBA against righties so distant this year. Still, Wainwright doesn't strike out sufficient batters to be a grand GPP play, and his early-season struggles create me hesitant about him in cash games. Best case is that you utilize him as an SP2 if the price is right.

Against a mashing Astros lineup in the hitter-friendly Min Maid Park, Justin Verlander is relegated to GPP status on Saturday. There'south always strikeout upside against the free-swinging Astros, but Verlander doesn't miss as many bats as he used to and is coming off a start against the Pirates in which he was blasted for seven runs in 4 1/three innings. Tough to perceive secure running the Detroit right-hander out there in cash games right now.

Shelby Miller's forty-eight Game Score would normally have him in the tier below, but I'm making an exception considering his opponent: the San Diego Padres. The Padres have played seven games this season that didn't get space in Coors Field, and they sport a .095 batting average with five runs scored in those seven games. The offense, to keep it simply, is a trainwreck right now. Miller hasn't pitched well in his first two starts with the Diamondbacks, but the skills are still excellent and the matchup doesn't obtain any better. He'll create for a grand SP2 to pair with a more expensive option.

If you're in the business of streaming starting pitchers, there are multiple options to consider on Saturday. First up is Brandon Finnegan, who pitched well in his first two outings, spinning a 2.84 ERA and 0.79 WHIP. The concern, of course, is that he sometimes has trouble throwing strikes, but he'south mitigated that so distant with a 10.0 K/nine and fifty-seven % ground ball rate. The Cardinals have been swinging hot sticks lately, so it'south a matchup with some risk, but the youthful southpaw has looked excellent sufficient to give him a shot on Saturday. Finnegan is a free agent in seventy-fifth % of ESPN. com leagues.

Jon Niese, a free agent in ninety-fourth % of leagues, gets a residence start against the Brewers. The lefty has been damage by the longball and holds a 5.73 ERA over his first two starts, but he also has twelve K'south in eleventh innings to go along with a 1.6 BB/nine. The Brewers lineup, which has been whiffing at a twenty-seven % clip, doesn't pose much of a threat.

Speaking of opponents that don't pose much of a threat, Chris Youthful draws a road start against the A's. Youthful has struggled with his control this year and is coming off a coarse outing against Houston, but he'south in a grand spot to rebound. The O. co Coliseum suppresses offense, and the A'south are averaging fewer than three runs per game. It'south a kind opportunity to stream the Royals righty, who can still be scooped up in ninety-sixth % of leagues.

On track to create his first start of the season, Erasmo Ramirez faces a White Sox team that's sputtered against right-handed pitching so distant this year, posting a .271 wOBA against them. Despite starting the season in the bullpen, hold in mind that Ramirez was an underrated fantasy option latest season, posting a 3.13 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in twenty-fifth starts once he joined the rotation in mid-May. He'south worth a spot start here.

Hitting

CC Sabathia managed to keep together a quality start in his first outing of the year, but he averaged less than eighty-seven miles per hour on his fastball and walked more than he struck out, so it'south tough to perceive too excellent about the performance. Thus, I'm recommending right-handed Mariners hitters against the huge lefty, who surrendered a .370 wOBA to righty hitters in two thousand-fifteenth. It'south unfortunate that Seattle'south lineup is so lefty heavy, but Nelson Cruz makes for an intriguing play, while Chris Iannetta and switch-hitter Ketel Marte could be worthwhile punts depending on where they're in the lineup.

The Twins' offense has been a mess so far, but their left-handed bats are in a very excellent spot against Jered Weaver on Saturday. Although Weaver made it through his first outing unscathed, consider that he faced nine left-handed hitters in that outing and retired only two of them, allowing five hits, a walk and a HBP.

It'south all systems go for Cubs bats against Christian Bergman, who owns a 5.43 ERA in one hundred twenty-sixth large league innings and allows lots of fly balls. The right-hander has actually been hit much harder by right-handed batters in his career, which puts Kris Bryant, Jorge Soler and switch-hitters Dexter Fowler and Ben Zobrist on the map for Saturday.

Colby Lewis has struggled against lefty hitters in his career, and residence runs have been a problem because of how many fly balls he allows. That sets up well for the left-handed boppers in Baltimore's lineup.

When John Danks is toeing the rubber for the White Sox, it'south nearly always a excellent idea to target right-handed hitters against him. That'south the case again on Saturday against the Rays. Logan Forsythe, Evan Longoria and Steven Souza are worth consideration.

Alvarez has yet to circle the bases with his new team, but he'll have a grand opportunity to modify that against fly baller Colby Lewis.

As excellent as Jake Arrieta was latest year in his Cy Youthful season, he wasn't very excellent holding runners on base, evidenced by the twenty-four swipes allowed. And Miguel Montero isn't excellent at throwing out base stealers, either. See for DJ LeMahieu, who's moved to the leadoff spot with Charlie Blackmon on the DL, to obtain the green light if he gets on base.

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