One Endorsement Can Create All The Disagreement for Sanders, Clinton in California'south Looming Contest

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Source:   —  April 13, 2016, at 1:18 AM

That'south because it'south comprised of a colossal cache of state-appointed delegates up for grabs -- a whopping four hundred seventy-five of them. That'south not even counting the seventy-one super-delegates.

One Endorsement Can Create All The Disagreement for Sanders, Clinton in California'south Looming Contest

As distant as Democratic Presidential primary contests go, CA is identified as the 'crown-jewel' of all states. That'south because it'south comprised of a colossal cache of state-appointed delegates up for grabs -- a whopping four hundred seventy-five of them. That'south not even counting the seventy-one super-delegates.

Latest polling in the state has former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton leading Senator Bernie Sanders anywhere from six to 11-points. That'south a titanic-size disagreement from this time in two thousand-fifteenth when Clinton was in a different stratosphere from Sanders, hovering around 50-points ahead.

Presently that Sanders and his people-powered, grassroots-driven campaign has closed the polling gap nationwide as well as in the Golden State, there'south a genuine opportunity that CA could become another battleground.

Before it does, of course a lot of things have to fall into space for Sanders. He'south got to capitalize on the jolt of momentum he earned on the heels of his WI and WY wins. Then, he's to eviscerate Clinton'south lead in NY and draw off a stunning upset in her residence state similar to his jaw-dropping MI triumph. While unlikely, if somehow he does achieve such a feat, it'll update and further fan the flames around questions of Clinton'south vulnerabilities as a common election candidate. Should that happen, the dynamics of the race will shift dramatically in Sanders' favor and position him well for several of the remaining pre-California contests.

If and when that happens, all eyes will increasingly turn to the Golden State. At that moment, there'south one endorsement that hasn't yet generated the extensive attention it deserves, but should.

I'm talking about California'south legendary Governor, Jerry Brown, and his skill to create all the disagreement for either Sanders or Clinton in the state.

Maybe one of the most influential Governors in the U. S., the now-four duration Gov Brown maintains a high fifty-seven percent approval rating among all CA voters, including Republicans. His support rates even higher among Democrats and Independents. That matters because both of them can vote in the state'south upcoming Democratic primary.

More than just producing high ratings, Brown is also credited for taking the state-- and the eighth largest economy in the world-- back from the brink of close economic collapse. He'south also been at the helm when CA passed some of the most progressive laws in the nation: a $15 per hr minimum wage, driver'south licenses for immigrants, and the boldest environmental protection laws in America.

In addition to his popularity and accomplishments, Brown'south impact on California'south June primary will carry historical significance as well.

With the exception of two thousand eight when the state moved up its Presidential primary election to Feb for Super Tuesday, the latest time the state had a competitive Democratic Presidential primary as late as June, was in one thousand nine hundred ninety-second. That year, the state witnessed a feisty brawl between then-Governor Bill Clinton and Jerry Brown in the race for the Democratic nomination.

In a similar fashion to today'south Democratic primary contest, in one thousand nine hundred ninety-second, a Clinton was distant and far leading on the delegate front but hadn't yet sewn up the needed delegates to lock down the nomination. Equally symbolic is the fact that Brown-- at the time an underdog much love Sanders is today-- ran on a comparable platform of overhauling the nation'south campaign finance system.

While Brown keep up a solid fight in one thousand nine hundred ninety-second, he was ultimately defeated by Clinton. Ever since then, there hasn't been much of a cozy relationship between the two.

Fast-forward to two thousand sixteen, and interestingly, Brown has been remarkably radio-silent on the Democratic primary race.

Both Clinton and Sanders obviously know how highly coveted Brown'south endorsement is, and what kind of wt it'd carry in California. His favorable rating polls higher than both candidates by double-digits.

While Gov Brown'south endorsement would be meaningful for Clinton, it'd represent much more of a game-changer for Sanders.

Why? Chiefly because one of the weaknesses of Sanders' candidacy is his appeal to minority voters. And in latino dominated California, this constituency has the skill to define which Democrat prevails in the state. A nod from Brown, who worked closely with Cesar Chavez and who's extraordinarily favorite with the state'south latino electorate, could be transformational when it comes to helping Sanders crack through with latino voters.

Moreover, a Brown endorsement could assistance Sanders shore up support from die-hard Democrats. As we've seen throughout the course of two thousand sixteen, Sanders does better in open primaries where Independents can vote alongside Democrats. That'll also be the case in California, but if Sanders wants to running up the delegate score against Clinton, he'll necessity to woo over more Party loyalists that are the lifeblood of the Democratic Party.

Any way you see at it, Gov Brown could keep the keys for either Democrat to win in California. His support could assistance finally seal the deal for Clinton by becoming a blockade against the Sanders avalanche or it could embody the transformational game-changer that Sanders desperately needs to solidify support from latinos and Democratic Party loyalists.

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