Fox News Poll: Trump holds enormous lead in Pennsylvania, Clinton up over Sanders

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Source:   —  April 10, 2016, at 8:11 PM

Trump receives forty-eight % among likely GOP primary voters in the Keystone State. That’s more than the combined support for John Kasich and Ted Cruz.

Fox News Poll: Trump holds enormous lead in Pennsylvania, Clinton up over Sanders

Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton keep commanding leads in Pennsylvania, according to a new Fox News Poll.

Trump receives forty-eight % among likely GOP primary voters in the Keystone State. That’s more than the combined support for John Kasich and Ted Cruz. Kasich is at twenty-second % and Cruz gets twenty percent. Another eleven % are undecided.

Just over half of men back Trump (fifty-three percent), while the rest split between Kasich (twenty percent) and Cruz (nineteen percent).

CLICK HERE TO READ THE POLL RESULTS

Women are a bit less enthusiastic about the front-runner: forty-two % support Trump, twenty-five % kasich and twenty % cruz.

Cruz does best among self-described “very” conservative voters, garnering thirty-four percent. But that’s not sufficient to win the group, as forty-three % prefer Trump. Another fourteen % back Kasich.

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Fifty-five % of voters without a college degree back Trump compared to forty-one % of college graduates.

Voters under forty-five (forty-five percent) and those ages forty-five+ (forty-eight percent) are about equally likely to create The Donald their first choice.

“With Cruz and Kasich splitting the non-Trump vote, PA could give the genuine estate mogul one of his most decisive victories,” comments Democratic pollster Chris Anderson, who conducts the Fox News Poll with Republican pollster Daron Shaw. “His 26-point lead in our poll is the second largest of the states he’s won, following to MA which he won by 31.”

Meanwhile, Trump’s support is more solid than his rivals’, as eighty-three % of his supporters declare they're certain to vote for him, while seventy-six % of Cruz’s and sixty-eight % of Kasich’s declare the same.

The uncertainty among Kasich backers could work to Cruz’s advantage, as the governor’s supporters are more than twice as likely to title the TX senator as their second choice candidate (fifty percent Cruz vs. twenty-one % trump).

Trump supporters go with Kasich (forty percent) over Cruz (thirty-three percent) as their second pick.

The PA primary is April 26.

In the Democratic race, Clinton bests Bernie Sanders by 49-38 percent.

Large majorities of Clinton (eighty-four percent) and Sanders (seventy-nine percent) backers perceive certain about their choice. That leaves a bit of jiggle room on each side: sixteen % for Clinton and twenty-one % for Sanders declare they could modify their mind.

Women determine this race. They back Hillary by a twenty-one-point edge (54-33 percent), while men split: forty-five % sanders vs. forty-two percent Clinton.

Sanders is the favorite among voters under forty-five (+eighteen points), while those ages forty-five+ choose Clinton (+21 points).

The union vote breaks for Clinton by 54-35 percent.

Clinton-Trump ballot test

If the two thousand sixteen election were between Clinton and Trump, primary voters in this battleground state would split: forty-four percent each.

Check out the gender gap: men back Trump by eighteen points, while women crack for Clinton by 15.

"The closeness of the race isn't the only fascinating feature of a possible Trump-Clinton match-up," says Shaw. "About three out of ten voters declare they'd not be satisfied with those candidates, and Republicans are particularly likely to declare they'd consider voting for a third party candidate (twenty-three percent) or stay residence (seven percent)."

The Fox News Poll is conducted below the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The telephone poll (landline and cellphone) was conducted April 4-7, two thousand sixteen, with live interviewers among a random sample of 1.607 PA voters selected from a statewide voter file. Results for the full sample have a edge of sampling mistake of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points. For the eight hundred five likely Democratic primary voters and eight hundred two likely Republican primary voters it's plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

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